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G0069

MuddyWater

Aliases: Seedworm · Static Kitten · TEMP.Zagros · Earth Vetala · MERCURY · Mango Sandstorm · TA450 · Boggy Serpens · ATK51 · COBALT ULSTER · Boggy Serpens

🔴 Active Campaign
State-sponsored Capability: Moderate Iranian Ministry of Intelligence and Security (MOIS) / Iran A1
Cut-off: April 12, 2026 · TLP:AMBER

Diamond Model

A1A1B2A1

Adversary

Iranian MOIS · Active since 2017 · Multi-cluster conglomerate

Infrastructure

RMM tools · Cloud C2 · Compromised email · Telegram API

Victim

Gov · Telecom · Defense · Energy · Maritime · Finance

Capability

Custom malware + RMM abuse + LOLBins · Rust-based implants (2026)

Regional Espionage & Pre-Positioning

Motive & Objectives

Espionage Intelligence collection Pre-positioning / disruption Destructive operations (via DEV-1084) Sanctions evasion support

Sector Proximity

  • Government / think tanks: Primary MOIS intelligence collection target

  • Global telecommunications: Core long-term target set since 2017

  • Defense technology / high-tech startups: Defense supply chain targeted Feb 2026

  • Higher education / research institutions: Universities targeted; Technion 2023 disruptive attack

  • Venture capital / investment: US bank targeted Feb 2026; financial sector exposure

Capability Assessment

  • Tooling High
  • Persistence Moderate
  • Attribution evade High
  • Zero-days Low

Malware Lineage

POWERSTATS (PowerShell backdoor) MuddyC2Go (C2 framework) PhonyC2 (C2 framework) DarkBeatC2 (C2 framework) BugSleep MuddyViper RustyWater (Rust-based RAT) Dindoor (Deno/JS backdoor) CHAR / GhostFetch / HTTP_VIP (Op Olalampo) BlackBeard (Rust backdoor) Nuso (custom HTTP backdoor)

Key TTPs (MITRE ATT&CK)

Initial Access

T1566.001 Phishing: Spearphishing Attachment T1566.001 · Phishing: Spearphishing Attachment Word docs, malicious Office attachments, ZIP archives T1566.002 Phishing: Spearphishing Link T1566.002 · Phishing: Spearphishing Link Malicious links in email bodies T1190 Exploit Public-Facing Application T1190 · Exploit Public-Facing Application Log4Shell, ProxyShell, PaperCut (CVE-2023-27350) T1195.002 Supply Chain Compromise: Software Supply Chain T1195.002 · Supply Chain Compromise: Software Supply Chain Rashim IT provider compromise (2021) T1078 Valid Accounts T1078 · Valid Accounts Compromised email accounts used for phishing delivery

Execution

T1059.001 Command and Scripting Interpreter: PowerShell T1059.001 · Command and Scripting Interpreter: PowerShell POWERSTATS; core technique across all years T1059.005 Command and Scripting Interpreter: Visual Basic T1059.005 · Command and Scripting Interpreter: Visual Basic VBScript loaders T1059.007 Command and Scripting Interpreter: JavaScript T1059.007 · Command and Scripting Interpreter: JavaScript Dindoor via Deno runtime; Tsundere Botnet Node.js T1204.002 User Execution: Malicious File T1204.002 · User Execution: Malicious File Victim must open malicious Office document T1218.005 System Binary Proxy Execution: Mshta T1218.005 · System Binary Proxy Execution: Mshta LOLBin abuse T1218.010 System Binary Proxy Execution: Regsvr32 T1218.010 · System Binary Proxy Execution: Regsvr32 LOLBin abuse T1218.011 System Binary Proxy Execution: Rundll32 T1218.011 · System Binary Proxy Execution: Rundll32 LOLBin abuse

Persistence

T1547.001 Boot or Logon Autostart Execution: Registry Run Keys T1547.001 · Boot or Logon Autostart Execution: Registry Run Keys Registry run key persistence T1547.004 Boot or Logon Autostart Execution: Winlogon Helper DLL T1547.004 · Boot or Logon Autostart Execution: Winlogon Helper DLL Observed in toolkit T1219 Remote Access Software T1219 · Remote Access Software Atera, ConnectWise, SimpleHelp, N-able, MeshCentral, PDQ, Action1

Defense Evasion

T1027 Obfuscated Files or Information T1027 · Obfuscated Files or Information Encoded/encrypted PowerShell; obfuscated scripts T1562.001 Impair Defenses: Disable or Modify Tools T1562.001 · Impair Defenses: Disable or Modify Tools Security software termination T1036 Masquerading T1036 · Masquerading Stolen code-signing certificates on backdoors T1197 BITS Jobs T1197 · BITS Jobs Observed in toolkit

Credential Access

T1003 OS Credential Dumping T1003 · OS Credential Dumping LaZagne, Mimikatz-equivalent tooling T1003.001 OS Credential Dumping: LSASS Memory T1003.001 · OS Credential Dumping: LSASS Memory LSASS access for credential harvesting T1528 Steal Application Access Token T1528 · Steal Application Access Token Custom Chromium-based credential stealer (2025) targeting Chrome, Brave, Edge, Opera

Discovery

T1083 File and Directory Discovery T1083 · File and Directory Discovery Standard enumeration post-access T1057 Process Discovery T1057 · Process Discovery Pre-exfiltration enumeration

Lateral Movement

T1021.001 Remote Services: Remote Desktop Protocol T1021.001 · Remote Services: Remote Desktop Protocol Post-compromise lateral movement

Collection

T1113 Screen Capture T1113 · Screen Capture CCTV/camera access prior to kinetic operations (Amazon TI, 2024)

Command and Control

T1071.001 Application Layer Protocol: Web Protocols T1071.001 · Application Layer Protocol: Web Protocols HTTP/S-based C2 (MuddyC2Go, DarkBeatC2) T1102 Web Service T1102 · Web Service Telegram bot C2 (Operation Olalampo); cloud hosting T1573 Encrypted Channel T1573 · Encrypted Channel Encrypted C2 communications T1090 Proxy T1090 · Proxy Chisel, PLink, FRP for tunneling; reverse proxy chains

Exfiltration

T1048 Exfiltration Over Alternative Protocol T1048 · Exfiltration Over Alternative Protocol Rclone to Wasabi cloud storage (Feb 2026) T1567.002 Exfiltration Over Web Service: Exfiltration to Cloud Storage T1567.002 · Exfiltration Over Web Service: Exfiltration to Cloud Storage Wasabi cloud storage bucket (Dindoor campaign)

Victimology

  • Government agencies & ministries · Primary target across Middle East, MENA, Europe, North America

  • Telecommunications providers · Core target since first campaigns 2017

  • Defense & aerospace · Defense supply chain firm targeted Feb 2026; US defense contractors

  • Energy / oil & gas · Persistent maritime/energy targeting in Middle East 2025-2026

  • Financial services · US bank backdoored ahead of Operation Epic Fury

  • Critical infrastructure (aviation) · US airport targeted Feb 2026 during pre-positioning phase

  • Healthcare · Shamir Medical Center (Israel) Oct 2025 via Iranian actors

  • Higher education · Technion Institute destructive attack Feb 2023

Geographic Focus

Middle East (primary) · United States · Israel · MENA · South/Central Asia · Europe · Africa

Activity Timeline

  1. 2026-03 B2

    Unit 42 (Boggy Serpens) reports refined operations: trusted-relationship compromises, wider maritime/aviation/financial targeting, Rust-based Nuso malware

    Source: Unit 42, Palo Alto Networks

  2. 2026-03-05 A1

    Symantec/Broadcom documents MuddyWater activity in US bank, US airport, Canadian NGO, and Israeli ops of US defense software supplier; Dindoor backdoor identified

    Source: Symantec / Broadcom

  3. 2026-03 B2

    Check Point Research publishes analysis linking MuddyWater to criminal tooling ecosystem and Tsundere Botnet; misattribution risk highlighted

    Source: Check Point Research

  4. 2026-02-26 B2

    Operation Olalampo (Group-IB): MENA cyberespionage campaign launched Jan 26 2026 with CHAR, GhostFetch, HTTP_VIP, GhostBackDoor; Telegram bot C2

    Source: Group-IB

  5. 2026-02 A1

    Pre-positioning confirmed in US critical infrastructure starting early February, weeks ahead of Operation Epic Fury kinetic strikes (Feb 28)

    Source: Symantec / Broadcom

  6. 2026-01 B2

    CloudSEK documents RustyWater campaign targeting Israeli diplomatic, maritime, telecom, financial entities; Rust-based RAT with Hebrew-language lures; expansion to India, UAE

    Source: CloudSEK

  7. 2025-10 B2

    Phoenix backdoor campaign: compromised mailbox used to send malicious Word docs across MENA; 100+ government entities targeted

    Source: The Register / Multiple

  8. 2025-10 B2

    Shamir Medical Center (Israel) hit by attack later linked to Iranian actors; initially misclassified as Qilin ransomware

    Source: Check Point Research

  9. 2025-08 to 2026-02 B2

    Four-wave sustained campaign against Middle East maritime/energy company (Boggy Serpens); AI-assisted code development; BlackBeard Rust backdoor

    Source: Unit 42

  10. 2025-03 B2

    HarfangLab documents Atera RMM agent campaign; spear-phishing delivery of RMM installers in password-protected archives

    Source: HarfangLab

  11. 2024-11 B2

    Amazon Threat Intelligence correlates MuddyWater CCTV access with subsequent missile strikes in Israel and Red Sea; establishes ISR role in kinetic ops

    Source: Amazon Threat Intelligence

  12. 2024-09 to 2025-03 B2

    MuddyViper backdoor deployed against Israeli organizations (ESET December 2024 disclosure)

    Source: ESET

  13. 2024-04 B2

    DarkBeatC2 framework documented by Deep Instinct

    Source: Deep Instinct

  14. 2024-03 B2

    TA450 spear-phishing campaign using PDF attachments with embedded links (Proofpoint)

    Source: Proofpoint

  15. 2023-11 B2

    MuddyC2Go C2 framework spotted in Israel (Deep Instinct)

    Source: Deep Instinct

  16. 2023-06 B2

    PhonyC2 C2 framework documented by Deep Instinct

    Source: Deep Instinct

  17. 2023-02 B2

    Technion – Israel Institute of Technology destructive attack; false ransomware persona "DarkBit"; MERCURY + DEV-1084 collaboration (Microsoft)

    Source: Microsoft / Israel NCD

  18. 2022-02 A1

    Joint advisory AA22-055A: FBI, CISA, NSA, CNMF, NCSC-UK formally attribute MuddyWater to Iranian MOIS

    Source: CISA / FBI / NSA / NCSC-UK

  19. 2022-01 A1

    CNMF advisory: Iranian intel cyber suite uses open-source tools

    Source: US Cyber Command CNMF

  20. 2021-09 A1

    US Treasury OFAC sanctions MOIS and Iran's intelligence minister, citing MuddyWater activity

    Source: US Treasury

  21. ~2020 to 2022 B2

    Pivot to RMM tool abuse (ScreenConnect, Syncro, RemoteUtilities) for persistence and evasion; cloud C2 introduced

    Source: Multiple vendors

  22. ~2017 B2

    First documented campaigns; POWERSTATS PowerShell backdoor; Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Israel, UAE, Turkey, India, US

    Source: Palo Alto Networks 2017

Do What (Now What)

  1. 01

    Hunt for RMM tool anomalies immediately

    Audit all RMM software (Atera, ConnectWise, SimpleHelp, N-able, Action1, PDQ, MeshCentral) deployed in your environment. Confirm every installed instance was authorized through your IT procurement process. Flag any unrecognized installs for immediate investigation, as MuddyWater routinely deploys RMM agents via spear-phishing without IT knowledge.

  2. 02

    Implement behavioral detection for LOLBin and PowerShell abuse

    Deploy SIEM rules hunting for mshta.exe, regsvr32.exe, rundll32.exe, and certutil.exe executing encoded or remote payloads. Tune for PowerShell with `-EncodedCommand`, `-WindowStyle Hidden`, and `-ExecutionPolicy Bypass` flags. This targets MuddyWater's most consistent technique pattern across all campaign years.

  3. 03

    Block and monitor Deno / Node.js runtime execution in production environments

    The Dindoor backdoor executes via Deno; Tsundere Botnet uses Node.js. Neither runtime should be present in standard enterprise endpoints. Application whitelisting that blocks unapproved JavaScript runtimes directly disrupts this specific TTPs cluster.

  4. 04

    Prioritize phishing-resistant MFA and email security hardening

    Spear-phishing remains MuddyWater's dominant initial access vector. Implement DMARC/DKIM/SPF enforcement, sandbox detonation for all attachments, and disable Office macro execution for documents from external sources. The October 2025 Phoenix campaign used a compromised mailbox — monitor for anomalous send volume from internal accounts.

  5. 05

    Conduct threat-informed purple team exercise targeting G0069 TTPs

    Commission an adversary simulation exercise using MITRE ATT&CK G0069 as the threat model. Focus kill-chain coverage assessment on: RMM persistence (T1219), PowerShell execution (T1059.001), credential dumping (T1003), and cloud exfiltration (T1567.002). Validate detection coverage before the next escalation cycle, not after.

Technical Evidence

Type Value First Last Confidence
CVE CVE-2020-1472 (Zerologon) 2020-09 2025-01 HIGH
CVE CVE-2023-27350 (PaperCut) 2023-04 2024-06 HIGH
CVE CVE-2021-44228 (Log4Shell) 2021-12 2023-06 HIGH
CVE CVE-2017-0199 (Office RTF) 2017-04 2023-01 HIGH
CVE CVE-2021-26855 (ProxyShell chain) 2021-03 2023-01 MODERATE
CVE CVE-2021-36260 (Hikvision camera) 2021-09 2026-03 MODERATE
CVE CVE-2025-34067 (Dahua/Hikvision camera) 2025-01 2026-03 MODERATE
Tool Rclone (cloud exfil) 2022-01 2026-02 HIGH
Tool LaZagne (credential dump) 2020-01 2026-01 HIGH
Tool Chisel / PLink / FRP (tunneling) 2021-01 2026-01 HIGH
Infra Wasabi cloud storage (exfil target) 2026-02 2026-02 HIGH
Malware POWERSTATS (PowerShell backdoor) 2017-01 2025-06 HIGH
Malware MuddyC2Go (Golang C2) 2023-11 2025-01 HIGH
Malware DarkBeatC2 (C2 framework) 2024-04 2025-06 HIGH
Malware BugSleep 2024-01 2025-06 HIGH
Malware MuddyViper 2024-09 2025-03 HIGH
Malware RustyWater (Rust RAT) 2026-01 2026-03 HIGH
Malware Dindoor (Deno backdoor) 2026-02 2026-03 HIGH
Malware CHAR / GhostFetch / HTTP_VIP 2026-01 2026-03 MODERATE
Malware BlackBeard (Rust backdoor) 2025-08 2026-02 MODERATE
Malware Phoenix backdoor 2025-10 2026-01 MODERATE
Malware DCHSpy surveillanceware 2025-07 2025-12 MODERATE

Full Analysis

Executive Summary

Intelligence Cut-off Date: 12-Apr-2026

MuddyWater is an Iranian state-sponsored advanced persistent threat group assessed with high confidence to be a subordinate element of Iran’s Ministry of Intelligence and Security (MOIS). Operating continuously since at least 2017 under numerous vendor aliases, the group conducts broad cyber espionage campaigns targeting government, telecommunications, defense, energy, and critical infrastructure sectors across the Middle East, North Africa, Europe, and North America. As of early 2026, MuddyWater has escalated significantly: the group pre-positioned backdoors inside US financial, aviation, and defense supply chain networks ahead of the February 28 Operation Epic Fury kinetic strikes, demonstrating a clear capability and mandate to transition from espionage to disruptive operations on short notice.

Overall Assessment: [Confidence: HIGH] — Attribution to MOIS is formally confirmed by a joint FBI/CISA/NSA/CNMF/NCSC-UK advisory (AA22-055A, 2022). Ongoing 2026 campaign activity is documented by Symantec/Broadcom (March 2026), Group-IB (February 2026), Unit 42/Palo Alto (March 2026), and Check Point Research (March 2026).


Identity and Attribution

MuddyWater (MITRE G0069) is tracked under a wide range of vendor-assigned names reflecting the fragmented nature of threat intelligence attribution across the industry. Microsoft tracks the group as MERCURY (legacy) and Mango Sandstorm (current). Proofpoint designates it TA450. CrowdStrike uses the name COBALT ULSTER. Secureworks uses Static Kitten. Mandiant and Google Cloud have tracked it as TEMP.Zagros. Trend Micro tracks the group as Earth Vetala. Unit 42 (Palo Alto Networks) recently introduced Boggy Serpens as a distinct but overlapping designation. All of these names are assessed to refer to the same core actor or closely related sub-clusters operating under MOIS direction. [Source: MITRE ATT&CK G0069, Rating: A1]

The group was first publicly documented by Palo Alto Networks in November 2017. The name “MuddyWater” was coined because early campaigns were difficult to attribute and were routinely confused with other intrusion sets. [Source: Wikipedia / Palo Alto Networks 2017, Rating: B2]

Formal government attribution to MOIS came in February 2022 through joint advisory AA22-055A, issued by the FBI, CISA, NSA, US Cyber Command’s Cyber National Mission Force (CNMF), and the UK National Cyber Security Centre (NCSC-UK). The advisory described MuddyWater as “a subordinate element within the Iranian Ministry of Intelligence and Security (MOIS).” [Source: CISA Advisory AA22-055A, Rating: A1]

Researchers have characterized MuddyWater as a “conglomerate” composed of several smaller, semi-autonomous clusters that may operate on different regional mandates or objectives. This organizational structure complicates clean attribution: overlapping tooling, shared infrastructure, and criminal ecosystem crossover have repeatedly led to misattribution and confusion among researchers. [Source: Check Point Research, March 2026, Rating: B2]


Motive and Objective

MuddyWater’s primary motive is espionage in support of Iranian strategic intelligence priorities: regional geopolitical monitoring, technology transfer, sanctions evasion support, and tracking of dissidents and dissident networks abroad. The group’s operational mandate aligns tightly with MOIS institutional responsibilities, which were formally expanded in 2017 to include increased activity abroad. [Source: HawkEye Threat Advisory, Rating: B2]

Beyond traditional espionage, MuddyWater has demonstrated a willingness to conduct or facilitate destructive operations when geopolitical conditions warrant. In 2023, Microsoft documented the group (as MERCURY) establishing initial access via Log4Shell exploitation before handing off to a separate cluster (DEV-1084) that executed destructive operations masquerading as ransomware, including the 2023 attack on the Technion – Israel Institute of Technology using the false persona “DarkBit.” [Source: Wikipedia / Microsoft reporting, Rating: B2]

The most significant escalation of objective scope came in early 2026: Symantec/Broadcom documented MuddyWater pre-positioning backdoors inside US critical infrastructure — a bank, an airport, defense aerospace software supply chain operations — weeks before the February 28, 2026 joint US-Israeli military strikes on Iran (Operation Epic Fury). This pre-positioning, combined with the use of previously unknown tooling (Dindoor), indicates that MuddyWater was tasked to hold US targets at risk as a deterrent or retaliatory instrument — not merely to collect intelligence. [Source: Symantec/Broadcom (March 2026), Rating: A1; SC Media (March 2026), Rating: B2]


Victimology

MuddyWater targets span a wide range of sectors with a clear weighting toward government agencies, telecommunications providers, defense organizations, energy and oil-and-gas companies, and critical infrastructure. Recent 2025–2026 campaigns have added financial institutions (US bank), aviation infrastructure (US airport), maritime operators (Middle East energy and marine company), and academic institutions to the documented target set. [Source: MITRE ATT&CK G0069 (A1), Symantec/Broadcom March 2026 (A1), Unit 42 March 2026 (B2)]

Geographically, the primary focus remains the Middle East — Saudi Arabia, UAE, Kuwait, Bahrain, Jordan, Iraq, Israel, Turkey — with documented operations expanding into North Africa (Egypt, Sudan, Tanzania), South and Central Asia, Europe, and North America. Recent 2025 campaigns specifically targeted US manufacturing and transportation sectors. [Source: Picus Security, March 2026, Rating: B2]

The group frequently targets third-party managed service providers and IT contractors as a supply chain entry point to downstream organizations. The 2021 compromise of Israeli IT provider “Rashim” to reach customer organizations is a documented example of this technique. [Source: Picus Security, Rating: B2]

Sector Proximity Assessment:

  • Global telecommunications: Direct — Core long-term target set since 2017 first campaigns; persistent focus across all subsequent years
  • Defense technology / high-tech startups: Direct — Defense aerospace software supplier targeted February 2026; direct overlap with DIB targeting mandate
  • Government / think tanks: Direct — Primary MOIS intelligence collection target; 100+ government entities targeted in single October 2025 campaign
  • Higher education / research institutions: Adjacent — Technion (Israel) destroyed in Feb 2023; universities historically targeted for telecom/defense research access
  • Venture capital / investment: Adjacent — US bank confirmed target February 2026; financial sector exposure via portfolio companies in telecom and defense

Capability Assessment

Rating: Moderate [Confidence: HIGH]

MuddyWater occupies the upper range of the “moderate” capability tier. The group does not routinely exploit zero-day vulnerabilities — its initial access is predominantly n-day exploitation and social engineering — but its tooling breadth, operational persistence, and rapid retooling cycle demonstrate a well-resourced actor that consistently evades detection and maintains long-term access across targeted environments. [Source: MITRE ATT&CK G0069, Rating: A1; Picus Security, Rating: B2]

Key capability indicators supporting this rating:

Tooling breadth and evolution: MuddyWater has developed and rotated through multiple custom C2 frameworks (MuddyC3, PhonyC2, MuddyC2Go, DarkBeatC2) in addition to custom implants (POWERSTATS, BugSleep, MuddyViper, RustyWater, Dindoor, CHAR, GhostFetch, BlackBeard, Nuso). The introduction of Rust-based implants (RustyWater, BlackBeard) in late 2025–2026 represents a meaningful tooling evolution toward more structured, lower-noise capabilities. [Source: CloudSEK January 2026 (B2); Group-IB February 2026 (B2); Unit 42 March 2026 (B2)]

Attribution evasion: The group leverages legitimate RMM tools (Atera, ConnectWise, SimpleHelp, N-able, MeshCentral, PDQ, Action1), code-signed backdoors with stolen certificates, and criminal ecosystem crossover to complicate attribution and defeat signature-based detection. [Source: SC Media March 2026 (B2); Check Point Research March 2026 (B2)]

Operational persistence: Pre-positioned backdoors in US networks were maintained for weeks before kinetic strikes without detection, indicating dwell times consistent with a capable actor. The group conducted four distinct attack waves against a single Middle Eastern maritime/energy target over a six-month period (August 2025–February 2026). [Source: Symantec/Broadcom March 2026 (A1); Unit 42 March 2026 (B2)]

Zero-day gap: No publicly confirmed zero-day exploitation. The group exploits known CVEs (Zerologon, PaperCut, ProxyShell, Log4Shell, CVE-2017-0199) with a pattern of rapid opportunistic exploitation of publicly reported vulnerabilities before organizations have patched. This is the primary downward pressure on the capability rating. [Source: Picus Security (B2); FortiGuard (C3)]


Modus Operandi

Key Campaigns

CampaignTimeframeDescription
Initial Middle East Campaigns2017First documented activity; PowerShell POWERSTATS backdoor targeting Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Israel, UAE, Turkey, US, India, Pakistan
RMM Pivot Phase2022–2023Shifted primary post-compromise persistence from custom C2 to legitimate RMM tools (ScreenConnect, Syncro, Atera, RemoteUtilities) to evade EDR detection
Technion / DarkBit Ransomware2023-02MERCURY/DEV-1084 collaboration; destructive attack on Technion using false ransomware persona “DarkBit”; Joint advisory AA22-055A issued same month
MuddyC2Go & PhonyC2 Operations2023-06 to 2024-04New C2 frameworks deployed against Israeli and regional targets; custom implant refresh cycle indicating active R&D
Atera RMM Campaign2025-03HarfangLab documented spear-phishing delivery of Atera agent installers in password-protected archives targeting Middle East organizations
Phoenix Backdoor Campaign2025-10Compromised mailbox used to deliver malicious Word documents across MENA; 100+ government entities targeted; Phoenix backdoor deployed
MuddyViper Against Israel2024-09 to 2025-03ESET documented MuddyViper backdoor deployment against Israeli organizations
RustyWater Campaign2026-01Rust-based RAT deployed via spear-phishing targeting Israeli diplomatic, maritime, financial, telecom entities; Hebrew-language lures; evidence of expansion to India, UAE
Operation Olalampo2026-01-26Group-IB documented MENA-wide campaign; CHAR, GhostFetch, HTTP_VIP, GhostBackDoor malware families; Telegram bot C2
US Pre-Positioning / Dindoor2026-02Backdoored US bank, US airport, Canadian NGO, defense aerospace software supplier weeks before Operation Epic Fury; Dindoor (Deno runtime) + Rclone exfil to Wasabi cloud
Boggy Serpens Maritime Campaign2025-08 to 2026-02Four attack waves against single Middle East energy/marine company; AI-assisted code, BlackBeard Rust backdoor, Nuso HTTP backdoor deployed

MITRE ATT&CK TTPs

PhaseTechnique IDTechnique NameNotes
Initial AccessT1566.001Phishing: Spearphishing AttachmentWord docs, malicious Office attachments, ZIP archives
Initial AccessT1566.002Phishing: Spearphishing LinkMalicious links in email bodies
Initial AccessT1190Exploit Public-Facing ApplicationLog4Shell, ProxyShell, PaperCut (CVE-2023-27350)
Initial AccessT1195.002Supply Chain Compromise: Software Supply ChainRashim IT provider compromise (2021)
Initial AccessT1078Valid AccountsCompromised email accounts used for phishing delivery
ExecutionT1059.001Command and Scripting Interpreter: PowerShellPOWERSTATS; core technique across all years
ExecutionT1059.005Command and Scripting Interpreter: Visual BasicVBScript loaders
ExecutionT1059.007Command and Scripting Interpreter: JavaScriptDindoor via Deno runtime; Tsundere Botnet Node.js
ExecutionT1204.002User Execution: Malicious FileVictim must open malicious Office document
ExecutionT1218.005System Binary Proxy Execution: MshtaLOLBin abuse
ExecutionT1218.010System Binary Proxy Execution: Regsvr32LOLBin abuse
ExecutionT1218.011System Binary Proxy Execution: Rundll32LOLBin abuse
PersistenceT1547.001Boot or Logon Autostart Execution: Registry Run KeysRegistry run key persistence
PersistenceT1547.004Boot or Logon Autostart Execution: Winlogon Helper DLLObserved in toolkit
PersistenceT1219Remote Access SoftwareAtera, ConnectWise, SimpleHelp, N-able, MeshCentral, PDQ, Action1
Defense EvasionT1027Obfuscated Files or InformationEncoded/encrypted PowerShell; obfuscated scripts
Defense EvasionT1562.001Impair Defenses: Disable or Modify ToolsSecurity software termination
Defense EvasionT1036MasqueradingStolen code-signing certificates on backdoors
Defense EvasionT1197BITS JobsObserved in toolkit
Credential AccessT1003OS Credential DumpingLaZagne, Mimikatz-equivalent tooling
Credential AccessT1003.001OS Credential Dumping: LSASS MemoryLSASS access for credential harvesting
Credential AccessT1528Steal Application Access TokenCustom Chromium-based credential stealer (2025) targeting Chrome, Brave, Edge, Opera
DiscoveryT1083File and Directory DiscoveryStandard enumeration post-access
DiscoveryT1057Process DiscoveryPre-exfiltration enumeration
Lateral MovementT1021.001Remote Services: Remote Desktop ProtocolPost-compromise lateral movement
CollectionT1113Screen CaptureCCTV/camera access prior to kinetic operations (Amazon TI, 2024)
Command and ControlT1071.001Application Layer Protocol: Web ProtocolsHTTP/S-based C2 (MuddyC2Go, DarkBeatC2)
Command and ControlT1102Web ServiceTelegram bot C2 (Operation Olalampo); cloud hosting
Command and ControlT1573Encrypted ChannelEncrypted C2 communications
Command and ControlT1090ProxyChisel, PLink, FRP for tunneling; reverse proxy chains
ExfiltrationT1048Exfiltration Over Alternative ProtocolRclone to Wasabi cloud storage (Feb 2026)
ExfiltrationT1567.002Exfiltration Over Web Service: Exfiltration to Cloud StorageWasabi cloud storage bucket (Dindoor campaign)

Tools and Malware

Custom C2 Frameworks (chronological):

  • MuddyC3 — Early custom framework
  • PhonyC2 — Documented June 2023 (Deep Instinct)
  • MuddyC2Go — Golang-based C2; November 2023 (Deep Instinct)
  • DarkBeatC2 — Latest framework iteration; April 2024 (Deep Instinct)

Custom Implants / Backdoors:

  • POWERSTATS — Signature PowerShell-based first-stage backdoor; slowly evolving since 2017
  • BugSleep — Custom implant; documented in 2024
  • MuddyViper — Custom backdoor against Israeli organizations (Sep 2024–Mar 2025; ESET)
  • RustyWater — Rust-based RAT; significant stealth/evasion upgrade; Jan 2026 (CloudSEK)
  • Dindoor — Deno JavaScript runtime backdoor; Feb 2026 (Symantec/Broadcom)
  • BlackBeard — Rust-based backdoor; maritime/energy campaign (Unit 42)
  • CHAR / GhostFetch / HTTP_VIP / GhostBackDoor — Operation Olalampo toolset; Jan 2026 (Group-IB)
  • Nuso — Custom HTTP backdoor; Boggy Serpens maritime campaign (Unit 42)
  • Phoenix — Custom backdoor; October 2025 government campaign
  • DCHSpy — Surveillanceware; documented by Lookout during Israel-Iran conflict

Open Source / LOLBIN Tools:

  • LaZagne (credential dumping)
  • Chisel, PLink, FRP (Fast Reverse Proxy), Ligolo (tunneling)
  • Rclone (cloud exfiltration)
  • Mimikatz-equivalent techniques

Legitimate RMM Tools (abused for persistence):

  • Atera Agent, ConnectWise ScreenConnect, SimpleHelp, N-able, MeshCentral, PDQ, Action1, RemoteUtilities, Syncro

Infrastructure Patterns

MuddyWater’s infrastructure posture is characterized by deliberate obfuscation and layered deniability. The group rotates infrastructure frequently, making IOC-based defenses insufficient as a sole detection strategy. [Source: HawkEye Advisory, Rating: B2]

Key infrastructure patterns include: abuse of compromised email accounts for phishing delivery (appearing to originate from trusted organizations), deployment of RMM tooling to establish persistent access over vendor-legitimate communication channels, use of cloud services (Telegram, Wasabi) for C2 and exfiltration to blend with legitimate traffic, and progressive adoption of commercial VPS hosting for custom C2 frameworks. [Source: MITRE ATT&CK G0069, Rating: A1; Group-IB Feb 2026, Rating: B2]

The Dindoor campaign (February 2026) used Deno runtime execution and code-signing certificates stolen from legitimate vendors to make backdoor activity appear legitimate. Rclone was used to exfiltrate data directly to a Wasabi cloud storage bucket, further avoiding traditional on-premises exfiltration detection. [Source: Symantec/Broadcom March 2026, Rating: A1]

Check Point Research (March 2026) documented overlap between MuddyWater and criminal infrastructure — shared code-signing certificates sourced from the same criminal marketplace as the CastleLoader affiliate ecosystem — suggesting deliberate use of criminal services for attribution obfuscation. [Source: Check Point Research March 2026, Rating: B2]


Activity Timeline

DateEventSourceRating
2026-03Unit 42 (Boggy Serpens) reports refined operations: trusted-relationship compromises, wider maritime/aviation/financial targeting, Rust-based Nuso malwareUnit 42, Palo Alto NetworksB2
2026-03-05Symantec/Broadcom documents MuddyWater activity in US bank, US airport, Canadian NGO, and Israeli ops of US defense software supplier; Dindoor backdoor identifiedSymantec / BroadcomA1
2026-03Check Point Research publishes analysis linking MuddyWater to criminal tooling ecosystem and Tsundere Botnet; misattribution risk highlightedCheck Point ResearchB2
2026-02-26Operation Olalampo (Group-IB): MENA cyberespionage campaign launched Jan 26 2026 with CHAR, GhostFetch, HTTP_VIP, GhostBackDoor; Telegram bot C2Group-IBB2
2026-02Pre-positioning confirmed in US critical infrastructure starting early February, weeks ahead of Operation Epic Fury kinetic strikes (Feb 28)Symantec / BroadcomA1
2026-01CloudSEK documents RustyWater campaign targeting Israeli diplomatic, maritime, telecom, financial entities; Rust-based RAT with Hebrew-language lures; expansion to India, UAECloudSEKB2
2025-10Phoenix backdoor campaign: compromised mailbox used to send malicious Word docs across MENA; 100+ government entities targetedThe Register / MultipleB2
2025-10Shamir Medical Center (Israel) hit by attack later linked to Iranian actors; initially misclassified as Qilin ransomwareCheck Point ResearchB2
2025-08 to 2026-02Four-wave sustained campaign against Middle East maritime/energy company (Boggy Serpens); AI-assisted code development; BlackBeard Rust backdoorUnit 42B2
2025-03HarfangLab documents Atera RMM agent campaign; spear-phishing delivery of RMM installers in password-protected archivesHarfangLabB2
2024-11Amazon Threat Intelligence correlates MuddyWater CCTV access with subsequent missile strikes in Israel and Red Sea; establishes ISR role in kinetic opsAmazon Threat IntelligenceB2
2024-09 to 2025-03MuddyViper backdoor deployed against Israeli organizations (ESET December 2024 disclosure)ESETB2
2024-04DarkBeatC2 framework documented by Deep InstinctDeep InstinctB2
2024-03TA450 spear-phishing campaign using PDF attachments with embedded links (Proofpoint)ProofpointB2
2023-11MuddyC2Go C2 framework spotted in Israel (Deep Instinct)Deep InstinctB2
2023-06PhonyC2 C2 framework documented by Deep InstinctDeep InstinctB2
2023-02Technion – Israel Institute of Technology destructive attack; false ransomware persona “DarkBit”; MERCURY + DEV-1084 collaboration (Microsoft)Microsoft / Israel NCDB2
2022-02Joint advisory AA22-055A: FBI, CISA, NSA, CNMF, NCSC-UK formally attribute MuddyWater to Iranian MOISCISA / FBI / NSA / NCSC-UKA1
2022-01CNMF advisory: Iranian intel cyber suite uses open-source toolsUS Cyber Command CNMFA1
2021-09US Treasury OFAC sanctions MOIS and Iran’s intelligence minister, citing MuddyWater activityUS TreasuryA1
~2020 to 2022Pivot to RMM tool abuse (ScreenConnect, Syncro, RemoteUtilities) for persistence and evasion; cloud C2 introducedMultiple vendorsB2
~2017First documented campaigns; POWERSTATS PowerShell backdoor; Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Israel, UAE, Turkey, India, USPalo Alto Networks 2017B2

Forecast, Implications, and Recommendations

What Next (Forecast)

MuddyWater will remain operationally active through 2026 at elevated tempo, driven by the sustained fallout from Operation Epic Fury and the death of Iran’s Supreme Leader. [Confidence: HIGH] The group has demonstrated both the willingness and the capability to pre-position inside US and Western critical infrastructure for retaliatory use, and that posture is unlikely to be abandoned while kinetic and diplomatic tensions remain elevated.

The group’s rapid tooling cycle — introduction of Rust-based implants, Deno-runtime backdoors, AI-assisted code development, and Telegram bot C2 in a single six-month window — signals active R&D investment and suggests additional novel malware families will be deployed in H1–H2 2026. [Confidence: MODERATE] Defenders relying on signature-based detection against prior MuddyWater IOCs will face degraded efficacy.

MuddyWater’s documented use of criminal ecosystem services (shared code-signing certificates, Tsundere Botnet) will likely expand as the group seeks to further complicate attribution and leverage mature criminal infrastructure. [Confidence: MODERATE] This “gray-zone” approach will increase misattribution rates and may create false negatives in attribution workflows that rely on clean actor separation.

So What (Implications)

Any organization operating in the defense supply chain, government contracting, financial services, telecommunications, maritime, or aviation sectors must treat MuddyWater as a credible and active threat rather than a distant geopolitical concern. The February 2026 campaign demonstrated that the group will target US domestic entities (bank, airport) directly — not merely Middle Eastern subsidiaries — when geopolitical conditions warrant. The pre-positioning methodology means organizations may already host dormant access without detection.

The group’s abuse of legitimate RMM tools and code-signed backdoors creates a significant detection gap: activity appears indistinguishable from legitimate IT operations without behavioral analytics. Standard perimeter defenses and signature-based EDR are insufficient.

The correlation between MuddyWater CCTV access and subsequent missile strikes (documented by Amazon Threat Intelligence in November 2024) establishes a direct link between MuddyWater espionage activity and kinetic operations — raising the stakes of a successful intrusion beyond data theft.

Now What (Recommendations)

  1. Hunt for RMM tool anomalies immediately — Audit all RMM software (Atera, ConnectWise, SimpleHelp, N-able, Action1, PDQ, MeshCentral) deployed in your environment. Confirm every installed instance was authorized through your IT procurement process. Flag any unrecognized installs for immediate investigation, as MuddyWater routinely deploys RMM agents via spear-phishing without IT knowledge.

  2. Implement behavioral detection for LOLBin and PowerShell abuse — Deploy SIEM rules hunting for mshta.exe, regsvr32.exe, rundll32.exe, and certutil.exe executing encoded or remote payloads. Tune for PowerShell with -EncodedCommand, -WindowStyle Hidden, and -ExecutionPolicy Bypass flags. This targets MuddyWater’s most consistent technique pattern across all campaign years.

  3. Block and monitor Deno / Node.js runtime execution in production environments — The Dindoor backdoor executes via Deno; Tsundere Botnet uses Node.js. Neither runtime should be present in standard enterprise endpoints. Application whitelisting that blocks unapproved JavaScript runtimes directly disrupts this specific TTPs cluster.

  4. Prioritize phishing-resistant MFA and email security hardening — Spear-phishing remains MuddyWater’s dominant initial access vector. Implement DMARC/DKIM/SPF enforcement, sandbox detonation for all attachments, and disable Office macro execution for documents from external sources. The October 2025 Phoenix campaign used a compromised mailbox — monitor for anomalous send volume from internal accounts.

  5. Conduct threat-informed purple team exercise targeting G0069 TTPs — Commission an adversary simulation exercise using MITRE ATT&CK G0069 as the threat model. Focus kill-chain coverage assessment on: RMM persistence (T1219), PowerShell execution (T1059.001), credential dumping (T1003), and cloud exfiltration (T1567.002). Validate detection coverage before the next escalation cycle, not after.


Technical Evidence

TypeValueFirst SeenLast SeenConfidence
CVECVE-2020-1472 (Zerologon)2020-092025-01HIGH
CVECVE-2023-27350 (PaperCut)2023-042024-06HIGH
CVECVE-2021-44228 (Log4Shell)2021-122023-06HIGH
CVECVE-2017-0199 (Office RTF)2017-042023-01HIGH
CVECVE-2021-26855 (ProxyShell chain)2021-032023-01MODERATE
CVECVE-2021-36260 (Hikvision camera)2021-092026-03MODERATE
CVECVE-2025-34067 (Dahua/Hikvision camera)2025-012026-03MODERATE
ToolRclone (cloud exfil)2022-012026-02HIGH
ToolLaZagne (credential dump)2020-012026-01HIGH
ToolChisel / PLink / FRP (tunneling)2021-012026-01HIGH
InfraWasabi cloud storage (exfil target)2026-022026-02HIGH
MalwarePOWERSTATS (PowerShell backdoor)2017-012025-06HIGH
MalwareMuddyC2Go (Golang C2)2023-112025-01HIGH
MalwareDarkBeatC2 (C2 framework)2024-042025-06HIGH
MalwareBugSleep2024-012025-06HIGH
MalwareMuddyViper2024-092025-03HIGH
MalwareRustyWater (Rust RAT)2026-012026-03HIGH
MalwareDindoor (Deno backdoor)2026-022026-03HIGH
MalwareCHAR / GhostFetch / HTTP_VIP2026-012026-03MODERATE
MalwareBlackBeard (Rust backdoor)2025-082026-02MODERATE
MalwarePhoenix backdoor2025-102026-01MODERATE
MalwareDCHSpy surveillanceware2025-072025-12MODERATE

Note: All domain and IP IOCs omitted — MuddyWater rotates infrastructure at high frequency, rendering specific network indicators stale within weeks. Use STIX/TAXII feeds from ISAC partners or CISA for current indicators. Behavioral analytics against the TTP patterns above are the more durable detection approach.


References

  1. CISA, FBI, NSA, CNMF, NCSC-UK. (2022, February 24). Iranian Government-Sponsored MuddyWater Actors Conducting Malicious Cyber Operations (Advisory AA22-055A). https://www.cisa.gov/news-events/analysis-reports/ar22-055a. Rating: A1

  2. CISA. (2022, February 24). Malware Analysis Report MAR–10369127–1.v1 – MuddyWater. https://www.cisa.gov/news-events/analysis-reports/ar22-055a. Rating: A1

  3. US Cyber Command / CNMF. (2022, January 12). Iranian Intel Cyber Suite of Malware Uses Open Source Tools. https://www.cybercom.mil/Media/News/. Rating: A1

  4. Symantec / Broadcom. (2026, March 5). MuddyWater Targets US Bank, Airport, Defense Supplier with Dindoor Backdoor. [Vendor blog]. Rating: A1

  5. MITRE ATT&CK. MuddyWater (G0069). https://attack.mitre.org/groups/G0069/. Rating: A1

  6. The Hacker News. (2026, March 9). Iran-Linked MuddyWater Hackers Target U.S. Networks With New Dindoor Backdoor. https://thehackernews.com/2026/03/iran-linked-muddywater-hackers-target.html. Rating: B2

  7. SC Media. (2026, March 6). Iranian APT Group MuddyWater Targets Multiple US Companies. https://www.scworld.com/news/iranian-apt-group-muddywater-targets-multiple-us-companies. Rating: B2

  8. Check Point Research. (2026, March 10). Iranian MOIS Actors & the Cyber Crime Connection. https://research.checkpoint.com/2026/iranian-mois-actors-the-cyber-crime-connection/. Rating: B2

  9. Unit 42, Palo Alto Networks. (2026, March). Boggy Serpens Threat Assessment. https://unit42.paloaltonetworks.com/boggy-serpens-threat-assessment/. Rating: B2

  10. Group-IB. (2026, February). Operation Olalampo: Inside MuddyWater’s Latest Campaign. [Vendor report]. Rating: B2

  11. CloudSEK TRIAD Team. (2026, January 12). RustyWater: Iranian MuddyWater APT Deploys Rust-Based Implant. https://www.csoonline.com/article/4115379/iran-linked-muddywater-apt-deploys-rust-based-implant-in-latest-campaign.html. Rating: B2

  12. ESET Research. (2024, December). MuddyViper Backdoor Against Israeli Organizations. [Vendor report]. Rating: B2

  13. Deep Instinct. (2024, April). DarkBeatC2: The Latest MuddyWater Attack Framework. https://www.deepinstinct.com/blog/darkbeatc2. Rating: B2

  14. Deep Instinct. (2023, November). MuddyC2Go — Latest C2 Framework Used by Iranian APT MuddyWater Spotted in Israel. https://www.deepinstinct.com/blog/muddyc2go. Rating: B2

  15. Deep Instinct. (2023, June). PhonyC2: Revealing a New Malicious C2 Framework by MuddyWater. https://www.deepinstinct.com/blog/phonyc2. Rating: B2

  16. HarfangLab. (2025, March). MuddyWater Campaign Abusing Atera Agents. https://harfanglab.io/. Rating: B2

  17. Amazon Threat Intelligence. (2024, November). MuddyWater and Kinetic Operations. [Vendor report]. Rating: B2

  18. Proofpoint. (2024, March 21). Security Brief: TA450 Uses Embedded Links in PDF Attachments in Latest Campaign. https://www.proofpoint.com/us/blog/threat-insight/security-brief-ta450-uses-embedded-links-pdf-attachments-latest-campaign. Rating: B2

  19. Picus Security. (2026, March 12). Iranian Threat Actors: What Defenders Need to Know. https://www.picussecurity.com/resource/iranian-threat-actors-what-defenders-need-to-know. Rating: C3

  20. Wikipedia. (Updated 2026). MuddyWater (hacker group). https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MuddyWater_(hacker_group). Rating: C3

Sources & Confidence

Source: PDB Threat Actor Registry · Profile v1

Brandon writes the profiles personally. See /work for the operator background →